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February 26, 2019

Older is gooder

What is the lifetime cost to provincial government of a person?

Here is a stab at figuring that out for a Nova Scotia born and educated engineer.  My assumptions (using readily findable numbers) are:


Public School12 yrs at$15,000
Bachelor's Degree5 years at$9,000
health birth$11,000
1-14 yrs at$1,500
15-64 yrs at$2,700
65+ at$12,000
salarystart age 24$50,000
end age 64$100,000
pension80%, 3% COLA
NS income tax15%

All in today's dollars and ignoring unknowables like HST,  Federal, and property taxes.

It's probably too simple, but you get the drift.  The province's investment is front end loaded and there is no return until the first job starts generating tax revenue.  Then there is gradual catch up and the province finally starts seeing returns at age 57.  After that, it's all gravy, even with high health care costs, and if our engineer has an average lifespan of 85 years, the province is $200,000 to the good.  I'd like to know what I'm missing.

It would be interesting to do this for others.
  • A minimum wage worker
  • A person receiving provincial supports
Ideas?

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